Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matchup 12/12/25

8-9, 11th NFC South
at

ATL 29 @ TB 28

Raymond James Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:26 pm GMT

8-9, 10th NFC South

ATL 29 @ TB 28

Raymond James Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:26 pm GMT
Updated: 11:26 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons Falcons
78
78
79
+4.5 (-108)
+6 (-108)
48.5 pts
43.5 pts
+175
+225
line-movement
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers
85
83
88
-4.5 (-112)
-6 (-112)
-238
-285
48.5 pts
43.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +225 -285
Spread +6 -6
Totals 18.8 24.8
Win Probability 26% 74%
Over/Under
Over/Under 43.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
7-6-1 3-2-1 4-4-0 2-1-0 5-5-1
8-6-0 6-1-0 2-5-0 6-1-0 2-5-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
43.1 to 46 4-2-1 2-0-1 2-2-0 4-2-0 2-1-0 2-1-0
46.1 and over 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 2-0-0 0-3-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
7-7-0 2-4-0 5-3-0 2-1-0 5-6-0
5-9-0 1-6-0 4-3-0 1-6-0 4-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 2-3-0 1-3-0 1-0-0
-0.1 to -3 1-2-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
0 to 3 2-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 4-1-0 1-1-0 3-0-0 1-3-0 0-1-0 1-2-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 2-5 28.6% 57.1 18.3
Underdog 3-4 42.9% 71.4 21
After Loss 3-5 37.5% 38.5 13.4
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 3-3 50% 16.7 24.5
Favorite 5-2 71.4% 42.9 24
After Loss 3-2 60% 15.4 9.2

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
20.7 6.8 6.2 2.8 4.8
24.5 4.5 8.2 7.3 4.5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
25.6 6.4 7.3 4.9 7
21.1 3.9 6.7 3.3 6.4
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18.3 3.3 5.7 3.3 6
21.7 1.9 8.7 6.3 4.9
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
27.5 4 6 8.8 8.2
24.3 5.7 6 5.7 7

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/7/25 TB 23 @ ATL 20 0 47.5 points 358 69 289 1 1 260 101 159 0 3
10/27/24 ATL 31 @ TB 26 ATL -1 47.5 points 394 129 265 0 4 432 102 330 0 3
10/4/24 TB 30 @ ATL 36 ATL -2 44 points 550 73 477 0 4 333 160 173 0 3
12/10/23 TB 29 @ ATL 25 ATL -1 41.5 points 434 96 338 2 1 290 148 142 1 2
10/22/23 ATL 16 @ TB 13 TB -3 37.5 points 401 156 245 1 0 329 73 256 0 1

Atlanta Falcons Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/7/25 ATL 9 vs SEA 37 SEA -6.5 44.5 points 274 120 154 0 0 365 129 236 0 3
11/30/25 ATL 24 @ NYJ 27 ATL -3.0 38.5 points 389 167 222 2 1 269 110 159 2 1
11/23/25 ATL 24 @ NO 10 NO -1.5 41 points 302 121 181 0 2 293 79 214 0 0
11/16/25 ATL 27 vs CAR 30 ATL -4.0 42 points 348 125 223 3 0 486 67 419 0 3
11/9/25 ATL 25 @ IND 31 IND -6.5 48 points 290 140 150 2 1 519 323 196 3 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/7/25 TB 20 vs NO 24 TB -7.5 41.5 points 301 179 122 1 1 260 139 121 3 0
11/30/25 TB 20 vs ARI 17 TB -4.5 44.5 points 279 95 184 1 1 386 95 291 0 2
11/24/25 TB 7 @ LAR 34 LAR -7.0 49.5 points 193 123 70 0 1 333 70 263 0 3
11/16/25 TB 32 @ BUF 44 BUF -6.5 45.5 points 367 202 165 3 1 414 97 317 3 3
11/9/25 TB 23 vs NE 28 TB -2.5 48.5 points 371 113 258 0 3 435 166 269 2 2