Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos Matchup 1/17/26

12-5, 0 AFC East
at

BUF 30 @ DEN 33

Empower Field at Mile High, Final

Updated: 4:37 am GMT

14-3, 0 AFC West

BUF 30 @ DEN 33

Empower Field at Mile High, Final

Updated:

Updated: 4:37 am GMT
Updated: 4:37 am GMT, 2/15

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
91
87
95
-1.5 (+102)
+1.5 (-108)
46.5 pts
45.5 pts
+102
+102
line-movement
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos Broncos
87
92
82
+1.5 (-122)
-1.5 (-112)
+105
+100
46.5 pts
45.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +102 +100
Spread +1.5 -1.5
Totals 22 23.5
Win Probability 50% 50%
Over/Under
Over/Under 45.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
9-7-1 5-3-0 4-4-1 2-2-1 7-5-0
8-9-0 5-4-0 3-5-0 7-6-0 1-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-1-0
39.1 to 43 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 5-3-0 2-2-0 3-1-0
43.1 to 46 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 0-5-0 0-2-0 0-3-0
46.1 and over 6-5-0 4-2-0 2-3-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
8-9-0 4-5-0 4-4-0 1-2-0 7-7-0
7-10-0 5-4-0 2-6-0 6-7-0 1-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
-7 to -10 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-3-0 0-2-0
-3.1 to -6.9 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
-0.1 to -3 2-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0
0 to 3 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 6-3 66.7% 55.6 25.2
Underdog 3-0 100% 100 32
After Win 8-4 66.7% 22.2 17.1
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 8-1 88.9% 55.6 25.6
Favorite 10-2 83.3% 25 23.8
After Win 11-2 84.6% 35.3 18.4

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
31.2 5.8 7.3 6.6 11.6
25.6 4.4 7.2 4.3 9.6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18.9 3.5 6.4 3.9 4.4
19.2 5.6 7.4 1.2 5
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
25 4.1 7.4 7.6 5.9
21.4 4.1 6 4.8 5.6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
23.4 4.1 8.9 3.7 6.8
17.8 4 5.3 4.9 3.6

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
1/12/25 DEN 7 @ BUF 31 BUF -7 49 points 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11/14/23 DEN 24 @ BUF 22 BUF -7 47.5 points 369 192 177 2 1 300 122 178 0 2
12/19/20 BUF 48 @ DEN 19 BUF -5 49 points 534 182 352 3 2 255 140 115 2 1
11/24/19 DEN 3 @ BUF 20 BUF -4 37 points 230 244 180 0 2 73 85 49 0 0
9/24/17 DEN 16 @ BUF 26 DEN -3 39.5 points 272 75 197 0 2 366 111 255 1 0

Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
1/11/26 BUF 27 @ JAX 24 JAX -1.5 51.5 points 340 79 261 2 1 359 154 205 0 3
1/4/26 BUF 35 vs NYJ 8 BUF -12.5 39 points 470 211 259 1 4 122 69 53 0 1
12/28/25 BUF 12 vs PHI 13 BUF -3.0 45 points 331 120 211 2 0 190 82 108 0 1
12/21/25 BUF 23 @ CLE 20 BUF -10.5 41 points 259 164 95 3 0 294 160 134 1 1
12/14/25 BUF 35 @ NE 31 BUF -2.5 49.5 points 349 168 181 2 3 385 246 139 4 0

Denver Broncos Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
1/4/26 DEN 19 vs LAC 3 DEN -14.5 38 points 240 116 124 0 0 217 113 104 0 0
12/26/25 DEN 20 @ KC 13 DEN -13.5 38 points 303 128 175 1 1 139 82 57 0 1
12/21/25 DEN 20 vs JAX 34 DEN -3.5 46.5 points 445 101 344 1 1 346 81 265 1 3
12/14/25 DEN 34 vs GB 26 GB -1.5 42.5 points 391 89 302 1 4 362 115 247 1 1
12/7/25 DEN 24 @ LV 17 DEN -8.0 40.5 points 356 152 204 2 0 229 40 189 0 2