Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans Matchup 11/21/25

12-5, 6th AFC East
at

BUF 19 @ HOU 23

NRG Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT

12-5, 5th AFC South

BUF 19 @ HOU 23

NRG Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT
Updated: 11:25 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
91
87
95
-3.5 (-110)
-5 (-115)
46.5 pts
44.5 pts
-185
-238
line-movement
Houston Texans Houston Texans Texans
81
83
80
+3.5 (-110)
+5 (-105)
+150
+205
46.5 pts
44.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline -238 +205
Spread -5 +5
Totals 24.8 19.8
Win Probability 68% 32%
Over/Under
Over/Under 44.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
5-6-0 4-2-0 1-4-0 0-1-0 5-5-0
3-7-1 1-4-1 2-3-0 1-2-0 2-5-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
39.1 to 43 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-5-1 0-3-1 2-2-0
43.1 to 46 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
46.1 and over 4-5-0 3-2-0 1-3-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
5-6-0 3-3-0 2-3-0 0-1-0 5-5-0
5-6-0 4-2-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 4-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0
-0.1 to -3 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 3-2-0 2-2-0 1-0-0
0 to 3 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-3-0 0-0-0 0-3-0
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 2-2 50% 50 24.2
Favorite 5-3 62.5% 37.5 27.9
After Win 4-2 66.7% 20 15.3
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 3-2 60% 60 24.4
Underdog 0-3 0% 0 12.7
After Win 2-2 50% 10 9.4

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
32.5 7 7.3 7.3 10.8
24.4 3.8 7 2 11.6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
16.2 5.4 1.4 6.6 2.8
18.2 5.2 5.5 0 7.5
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
24.2 5 6.5 7.8 5
19.6 2 6.4 5.2 6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
26 3.8 10 5.5 6.7
16.4 3.4 6.2 3.4 3.4

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/6/24 BUF 20 @ HOU 23 HOU -1 47.5 points 276 150 126 1 1 425 94 331 1 1
10/3/21 HOU 0 @ BUF 40 BUF -16 47 points 450 199 251 2 2 109 48 61 0 0
1/4/20 BUF 19 @ HOU 22 HOU -2 43 points 425 172 253 0 1 360 141 219 1 1
10/14/18 BUF 13 @ HOU 20 HOU -10 40 points 229 100 129 0 1 216 74 142 0 1
12/6/15 HOU 21 @ BUF 30 HOU -3 42 points 390 187 203 1 3 401 126 275 0 3

Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/16/25 BUF 44 vs TB 32 BUF -6.5 45.5 points 414 97 317 3 3 367 202 165 3 1
11/9/25 BUF 13 @ MIA 30 BUF -8.0 50.5 points 376 87 289 0 2 370 197 173 2 2
11/2/25 BUF 28 vs KC 21 KC -2.5 53 points 404 141 263 3 1 305 79 226 2 0
10/26/25 BUF 40 @ CAR 9 BUF -7.0 47.5 points 410 245 165 4 1 244 114 130 1 0
10/13/25 BUF 14 @ ATL 24 BUF -3.5 49.5 points 291 134 157 0 2 443 210 233 2 1

Houston Texans Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/16/25 HOU 16 @ TEN 13 HOU -5.5 37.5 points 315 75 240 0 1 229 58 171 0 1
11/9/25 HOU 36 vs JAX 29 HOU -1.0 37.5 points 412 130 282 2 2 213 94 119 1 1
11/2/25 HOU 15 vs DEN 18 HOU -2.0 41 points 268 77 191 0 0 271 100 171 0 2
10/26/25 HOU 26 vs SF 15 HOU -3.0 41 points 475 157 318 0 2 223 48 175 0 2
10/21/25 HOU 19 @ SEA 27 SEA -3.0 41.5 points 254 56 198 0 1 316 118 198 2 1