Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins Matchup 11/9/25

12-5, 6th AFC East
at

BUF 13 @ MIA 30

Hard Rock Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT

7-10, 10th AFC East

BUF 13 @ MIA 30

Hard Rock Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT
Updated: 11:25 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
91
87
95
-5.5 (-110)
-8 (-105)
49.5 pts
50.5 pts
-238
-440
line-movement
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
71
70
73
+5.5 (-110)
+8 (-115)
+190
+350
49.5 pts
50.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline -440 +350
Spread -8 +8
Totals 29.2 21.2
Win Probability 78% 22%
Over/Under
Over/Under 50.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
4-5-0 3-2-0 1-3-0 0-1-0 4-4-0
6-3-1 3-2-0 3-1-1 4-2-0 2-1-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
43.1 to 46 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 3-0-1 2-0-0 1-0-1
46.1 and over 4-5-0 3-2-0 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
4-5-0 2-3-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 4-4-0
5-5-0 3-2-0 2-3-0 3-3-0 2-2-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-0.1 to -3 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
0 to 3 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-2-0
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 2-1 66.7% 66.7 28
Favorite 4-2 66.7% 33.3 27.7
After Win 4-1 80% 25 17.5
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 1-3 25% 50 21.8
Underdog 1-5 16.7% 50 17
After Loss 2-4 33.3% 44.4 15.8

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
30.2 7 6 6.8 10.4
21.8 3.2 7.5 5 6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
26.4 2.6 10.2 4 9.6
14.3 4.7 4.3 0 5.3
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
28 6.7 8.7 10.3 2.3
18.6 3.4 7.4 1.4 6.4
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
24.8 4 8.6 5.4 6.8
27.8 6.2 4 10.8 6.8

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/19/25 MIA 21 @ BUF 31 BUF -11 50.5 points 360 157 203 1 3 276 130 146 1 2
11/3/24 MIA 27 @ BUF 30 BUF -6 49.5 points 325 94 231 0 3 373 149 224 1 2
9/13/24 BUF 31 @ MIA 10 MIA -2 49 points 247 108 139 2 1 351 139 212 0 1
1/8/24 BUF 21 @ MIA 14 BUF -2 48 points 473 128 345 0 2 275 108 167 1 1
10/1/23 MIA 20 @ BUF 48 BUF -3 52.5 points 414 104 310 2 4 393 142 251 2 1

Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/2/25 BUF 28 vs KC 21 KC -2.5 53 points 404 141 263 3 1 305 79 226 2 0
10/26/25 BUF 40 @ CAR 9 BUF -7.0 47.5 points 410 245 165 4 1 244 114 130 1 0
10/13/25 BUF 14 @ ATL 24 BUF -3.5 49.5 points 291 134 157 0 2 443 210 233 2 1
10/6/25 BUF 20 vs NE 23 BUF -7.5 49 points 363 118 245 0 2 338 71 267 2 0
9/28/25 BUF 31 vs NO 19 BUF -14.5 48.5 points 356 165 191 2 2 298 189 109 1 1

Miami Dolphins Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/31/25 MIA 6 vs BAL 28 BAL -7.5 51.5 points 332 87 245 0 0 338 150 188 0 4
10/26/25 MIA 34 @ ATL 10 ATL -7.0 44.5 points 338 141 197 0 4 213 45 168 1 0
10/19/25 MIA 6 @ CLE 31 CLE -2.5 34.5 points 219 99 120 0 0 206 104 102 3 0
10/12/25 MIA 27 vs LAC 29 LAC -3.5 45.5 points 341 137 204 2 1 403 140 263 0 2
10/5/25 MIA 24 @ CAR 27 MIA -1.0 44 points 248 19 229 0 3 418 239 179 1 2