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  5. Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Matchup 12/14/25 Bills at Patriots Matchup 12/14

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Matchup 12/14/25

12-5, 6th AFC East
at

BUF 35 @ NE 31

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:26 pm GMT

14-3, 2nd AFC East

BUF 35 @ NE 31

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:26 pm GMT

Odds Odds Comparison | Splits Bet Splits | Scoring | L5 Meet Last 5 Meetings | NE Bills L5 Last 5 | NE Patriots L5 Last 5

Updated: 11:26 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
91
87
95
-5.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
47.5 pts
49.5 pts
-218
-142
line-movement
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
74
75
74
+5.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
+175
+117
47.5 pts
49.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Moneyline -142 +117
Spread -2.5 +2.5
Totals 26 23.5
Win Probability 54% 46%
Over/Under
Over/Under 49.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
7-7-0 5-2-0 2-5-0 0-2-0 7-5-0
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
8-6-0 5-3-0 3-3-0 3-0-0 5-6-0
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-0-0
43.1 to 46 1-2-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
46.1 and over 6-5-0 4-2-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 1-2-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
7-7-0 3-4-0 4-3-0 1-1-0 6-6-0
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
9-5-0 4-4-0 5-1-0 3-0-0 6-5-0
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
-3.1 to -6.9 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0
-0.1 to -3 2-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 2-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 3-3 50% 50 23.7
Favorite 7-4 63.6% 36.4 27.9
After Win 5-3 62.5% 15.4 16.2
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 5-2 71.4% 57.1 26.4
Underdog 3-1 75% 75 24.5
After Win 9-1 90% 53.8 20.2

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
33.4 6.4 7.4 7.3 12.3
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
26.4 5.9 11.1 5.4 4
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
20.3 4.3 7.2 3.2 5.7
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
17.2 4 7.7 0.5 5
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
23.7 4.3 6.5 7.3 5.5
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
27.7 6.5 8.7 7 5.5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
27.1 4.3 10.6 4.7 7.6
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
17 5.9 3 2.4 5.7

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/6/25 NE 23 @ BUF 20 BUF -7 49 points 363 118 245 0 2 338 71 267 2 0
1/5/25 BUF 16 @ NE 23 BUF -3 36.5 points 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12/22/24 NE 21 @ BUF 24 BUF -14 48 points 324 172 152 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
12/31/23 NE 21 @ BUF 27 BUF -15 40 points 281 127 154 2 0 294 103 191 2 0
10/22/23 BUF 25 @ NE 29 BUF -7 41 points 339 81 258 1 2 364 96 268 1 2

Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups

Game
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/7/25 BUF 39 vs CIN 34 BUF -6.0 54.5 points 416 183 233 1 3 338 62 276 1 4
11/30/25 BUF 26 @ PIT 7 BUF -3.0 44.5 points 372 249 123 1 1 166 58 108 1 0
11/21/25 BUF 19 @ HOU 23 BUF -5.0 44.5 points 326 143 183 1 0 261 108 153 0 2
11/16/25 BUF 44 vs TB 32 BUF -6.5 45.5 points 414 97 317 3 3 367 202 165 3 1
11/9/25 BUF 13 @ MIA 30 BUF -8.0 50.5 points 376 87 289 0 2 370 197 173 2 2

New England Patriots Last 5 Matchups

Game
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/2/25 NE 33 vs NYG 15 NE -7.0 46.5 points 395 119 276 0 2 239 111 128 1 1
11/23/25 NE 26 @ CIN 20 NE -7.5 50.5 points 392 107 285 0 1 307 120 187 0 1
11/14/25 NE 27 vs NYJ 14 NE -12.5 43 points 336 65 271 2 1 245 140 105 1 1
11/9/25 NE 28 @ TB 23 TB -2.5 48.5 points 435 166 269 2 2 371 113 258 0 3
11/2/25 NE 24 vs ATL 23 NE -5.5 45.5 points 331 110 221 1 2 288 71 217 0 3