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  5. Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Matchup 1/5/25 Bills at Patriots Matchup 1/5

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Matchup 1/5/25

13-4, 2nd AFC East
at

BUF 16 @ NE 23

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated: 6:17 am GMT

4-13, 13th AFC East

BUF 16 @ NE 23

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 6:17 am GMT

Odds Odds Comparison | Splits Bet Splits | Scoring | L5 Meet Last 5 Meetings | NE Bills L5 Last 5 | NE Patriots L5 Last 5

Updated: 6:17 am GMT, 3/1

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
91
91
94
-2 (-110)
-3 (-115)
41 pts
36.5 pts
-180
-170
line-movement
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
84
90
81
+2 (-110)
+3 (-105)
+105
+143
41 pts
36.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Moneyline -170 +143
Spread -3 +3
Totals 19.8 16.8
Win Probability 59% 41%
Over/Under
Over/Under 36.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
9-5-3 4-2-1 5-3-2 0-1-0 9-4-0
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
10-4-3 6-1-1 4-3-2 4-2-0 6-2-0
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-3 0-0-1 0-0-2 0-0-3 0-0-1 0-0-2
36.1 to 39 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-4-0 2-1-0 0-3-0
39.1 to 43 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 7-1-0 5-0-0 2-1-0
43.1 to 46 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
46.1 and over 6-4-0 3-1-0 3-3-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
8-6-3 4-2-1 4-4-2 0-1-0 8-5-0
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
6-8-3 3-4-1 3-4-2 2-4-0 4-4-0
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 3-3-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-0.1 to -3 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 2-2-3 0-0-1 2-2-2 2-1-4 2-1-2 0-0-2
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-5-0 0-3-0 2-2-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0

Bet Splits

Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 5-3 62.5% 62.5 29.4
Favorite 11-1 91.7% 66.7 33.3
After Win 9-3 75% 38.9 18.9
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 1-6 14.3% 28.6 18.4
Underdog 3-13 18.8% 37.5 16.6
After Loss 2-10 16.7% 22.2 10.2

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
34.2 4.5 9.6 9.9 10.2
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
18.4 4.9 4.7 2.9 6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
23 3.3 8.9 5.2 5.2
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
25.5 6 8.9 4.2 6.4
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
29.4 7.2 7.6 7.4 7.1
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
15.2 1.9 4.7 1.9 6.8
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
17.6 2.9 6 2.1 6.6
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
27.7 6.3 7.3 7 6.7

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/22/24 NE 21 @ BUF 24 BUF -14 48 points 324 172 152 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
12/31/23 NE 21 @ BUF 27 BUF -15 40 points 281 127 154 2 0 294 103 191 2 0
10/22/23 BUF 25 @ NE 29 BUF -7 41 points 339 81 258 1 2 364 96 268 1 2
1/8/23 NE 23 @ BUF 35 BUF -7 42.5 points 327 90 237 0 3 341 107 234 0 3
12/2/22 BUF 24 @ NE 10 BUF -4 43.5 points 355 132 223 1 2 242 60 182 0 1

Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups

Game
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/29/24 BUF 40 vs NYJ 14 BUF -10.0 44.5 points 348 97 251 2 3 0 0 0 0 0
12/22/24 BUF 24 vs NE 21 BUF -14.0 48 points 324 172 152 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
12/15/24 BUF 48 @ DET 42 DET -2.5 55.5 points 559 197 362 4 2 521 48 473 1 5
12/8/24 BUF 42 @ LAR 44 BUF -3.5 50.5 points 445 103 342 3 3 457 137 320 3 2
12/2/24 BUF 35 vs SF 10 BUF -6.5 45.5 points 372 220 152 3 2 239 153 86 1 0

New England Patriots Last 5 Matchups

Game
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/28/24 NE 7 vs LAC 40 LAC -6.0 41.5 points 181 96 85 0 1 428 147 281 1 3
12/22/24 NE 0 @ BUF 0 BUF -14.0 48 points 0 0 0 0 0 324 172 152 1 1
12/15/24 NE 17 @ ARI 30 ARI -6.5 46.5 points 311 116 195 1 1 395 163 232 3 0
12/1/24 NE 24 vs IND 25 IND -2.0 41 points 422 200 222 1 1 253 144 109 1 2
11/24/24 NE 15 @ MIA 34 MIA -7.5 45.5 points 268 86 182 0 1 373 65 308 0 4