New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Matchup 1/4/26

3-14, 15th AFC East
at

NYJ 8 @ BUF 35

Highmark Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT

12-5, 6th AFC East

NYJ 8 @ BUF 35

Highmark Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT
Updated: 11:28 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
New York Jets New York Jets Jets
82
86
79
+11.5 (-110)
+12.5 (-105)
39.5 pts
39 pts
+500
+525
line-movement
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
91
87
95
-11.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-115)
-410
-800
39.5 pts
39 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +525 -800
Spread +12.5 -12.5
Totals 13.2 25.8
Win Probability 12% 88%
Over/Under
Over/Under 39
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
11-6-0 6-3-0 5-3-0 3-1-0 8-5-0
9-8-0 6-3-0 3-5-0 1-2-0 8-6-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 3-0-0 3-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 5-3-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0
43.1 to 46 2-2-0 0-1-0 2-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0
46.1 and over 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 6-5-0 4-2-0 2-3-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
7-10-0 4-5-0 3-5-0 2-2-0 5-8-0
8-9-0 4-5-0 4-4-0 1-2-0 7-7-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
-3.1 to -6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
-0.1 to -3 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0
0 to 3 3-2-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 2-2-0 0-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 1-4-0 0-1-0 1-3-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 1-6 14.3% 42.9 19.6
Underdog 3-11 21.4% 50 18.9
After Loss 2-10 16.7% 31.2 13.1
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 6-2 75% 37.5 30.8
Favorite 9-5 64.3% 35.7 26.9
After Loss 3-1 75% 18.8 7.8

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
17.2 4.3 3.2 2.4 7.2
30.8 5.6 6.5 6.4 12.2
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
19.2 5.6 7.4 1.2 5
31.6 4.7 11.1 8.9 6.9
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
19.6 2.9 4.6 2.9 9.3
25 4.1 7.4 7.6 5.9
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
27.4 8.3 9.8 3.3 6
25.4 4.6 10 4.1 6.6

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/14/25 BUF 30 @ NYJ 10 BUF -5 47 points 154 100 54 0 1 403 224 179 3 0
12/29/24 NYJ 14 @ BUF 40 BUF -10 44.5 points 0 0 0 0 0 348 97 251 2 3
10/15/24 BUF 23 @ NYJ 20 BUF -1 42 points 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11/19/23 NYJ 6 @ BUF 32 BUF -8 39 points 155 63 92 0 1 393 130 263 0 3
9/12/23 BUF 16 @ NYJ 22 BUF -2 44.5 points 289 172 117 0 1 314 97 217 0 1

New York Jets Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/28/25 NYJ 10 vs NE 42 NE -13.0 42 points 307 164 143 1 0 440 155 285 1 5
12/21/25 NYJ 6 @ NO 29 NO -6.5 39.5 points 195 64 131 0 0 412 84 328 0 2
12/14/25 NYJ 20 @ JAX 48 JAX -13.5 40.5 points 284 130 154 1 1 438 108 330 1 5
12/7/25 NYJ 10 vs MIA 34 MIA -2.5 41.5 points 207 65 142 0 0 358 239 119 3 1
11/30/25 NYJ 27 vs ATL 24 ATL -3.0 38.5 points 269 110 159 2 1 389 167 222 2 1

Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/28/25 BUF 12 vs PHI 13 BUF -3.0 45 points 331 120 211 2 0 190 82 108 0 1
12/21/25 BUF 23 @ CLE 20 BUF -10.5 41 points 259 164 95 3 0 294 160 134 1 1
12/14/25 BUF 35 @ NE 31 BUF -2.5 49.5 points 349 168 181 2 3 385 246 139 4 0
12/7/25 BUF 39 vs CIN 34 BUF -6.0 54.5 points 416 183 233 1 3 338 62 276 1 4
11/30/25 BUF 26 @ PIT 7 BUF -3.0 44.5 points 372 249 123 1 1 166 58 108 1 0