Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills Matchup 11/16/25

8-9, 10th NFC South
at

TB 32 @ BUF 44

Highmark Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT

12-5, 6th AFC East

TB 32 @ BUF 44

Highmark Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT
Updated: 11:25 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers
85
83
88
+6 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
50.5 pts
45.5 pts
+190
+240
line-movement
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
91
87
95
-6 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
-245
-290
50.5 pts
45.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +240 -290
Spread +6.5 -6.5
Totals 19.5 26
Win Probability 26% 74%
Over/Under
Over/Under 45.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
6-4-0 4-0-0 2-4-0 4-0-0 2-4-0
5-5-0 4-2-0 1-3-0 0-1-0 5-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
43.1 to 46 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
46.1 and over 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 4-5-0 3-2-0 1-3-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
5-5-0 1-3-0 4-2-0 1-3-0 4-2-0
5-5-0 3-3-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 5-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
-3.1 to -6.9 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
-0.1 to -3 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 1-3-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 4-1 80% 80 22.6
Underdog 2-2 50% 50 23
After Loss 2-0 100% 22.2 6.8
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 4-1 80% 40 30.2
Favorite 4-3 57.1% 28.6 25.6
After Loss 1-1 50% 11.1 6

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
26.8 5 9 7.5 5.2
30.2 7 6 6.8 10.4
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18.2 5.2 5.5 0 7.5
20.2 4.8 4 4.8 6.6
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
22.6 2 7.4 7.6 5.6
24.2 5 6.5 7.8 5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
26.2 6.8 8.2 4.2 7
24.8 4 8.6 5.4 6.8

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/27/23 TB 18 @ BUF 24 BUF -10 43 points 302 78 224 0 2 427 115 312 1 2
12/12/21 BUF 27 @ TB 33 TB -3 53 points 488 137 351 2 2 466 173 293 1 2
10/22/17 TB 27 @ BUF 30 BUF -3 46 points 447 69 378 0 3 434 173 261 2 1
12/8/13 BUF 6 @ TB 27 BUF -3 43 points 246 165 81 1 2 214 67 147 0 0
9/20/09 TB 20 @ BUF 33 BUF -4 42 points 353 57 296 0 3 438 218 220 0 2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/9/25 TB 23 vs NE 28 TB -2.5 48.5 points 371 113 258 0 3 435 166 269 2 2
10/26/25 TB 23 @ NO 3 TB -3.5 46 points 212 88 124 1 0 275 48 227 0 0
10/20/25 TB 9 @ DET 24 DET -6.0 54.5 points 251 41 210 0 1 379 164 215 2 1
10/12/25 TB 30 vs SF 19 TB -3.5 46.5 points 352 104 248 2 2 363 67 296 1 0
10/5/25 TB 38 @ SEA 35 SEA -3.5 44.5 points 426 56 370 2 2 463 122 341 1 4

Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/9/25 BUF 13 @ MIA 30 BUF -8.0 50.5 points 376 87 289 0 2 370 197 173 2 2
11/2/25 BUF 28 vs KC 21 KC -2.5 53 points 404 141 263 3 1 305 79 226 2 0
10/26/25 BUF 40 @ CAR 9 BUF -7.0 47.5 points 410 245 165 4 1 244 114 130 1 0
10/13/25 BUF 14 @ ATL 24 BUF -3.5 49.5 points 291 134 157 0 2 443 210 233 2 1
10/6/25 BUF 20 vs NE 23 BUF -7.5 49 points 363 118 245 0 2 338 71 267 2 0