Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots Matchup 9/28/25

8-9, 4th NFC South
at

CAR 13 @ NE 42

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:23 pm GMT

14-3, 2nd AFC East

CAR 13 @ NE 42

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:23 pm GMT
Updated: 11:23 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers Panthers
69
69
70
+3 (-105)
+5.5 (-108)
45.5 pts
42.5 pts
+135
+195
line-movement
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
74
75
74
-3 (-115)
-5.5 (-112)
-185
-265
45.5 pts
42.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +195 -265
Spread +5.5 -5.5
Totals 18.5 24
Win Probability 28% 72%
Over/Under
Over/Under 42.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
2-2-0 0-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
2-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-2-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0
43.1 to 46 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0
46.1 and over 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
2-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-2-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
-0.1 to -3 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 1-2-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 0-2 0% 50 16
Underdog 1-2 33.3% 66.7 20.7
After Win 0-0 0% 0 0
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 0-2 0% 0 13.5
Favorite 0-1 0% 0 13
After Loss 1-0 100% 33.3 11

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
30 7 3 10 10
13.5 3.5 5 0 5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
27 0 14 6 7
26.5 6.5 13.5 3.5 3
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
16 3 0 3 10
33 12 3 8 10
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
0 0 0 0 0
20.5 7 3.5 5 5

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/7/21 NE 24 @ CAR 6 NE -3 41.5 points 240 78 162 0 0 273 151 122 1 1
10/1/17 CAR 33 @ NE 30 NE -9 48.5 points 444 140 304 1 3 373 80 293 1 2
11/18/13 NE 20 @ CAR 24 NE -3 46 points 300 103 197 0 3 390 107 283 1 1
12/13/09 CAR 10 @ NE 20 NE -12 43 points 305 126 179 0 1 377 185 192 1 1
9/18/05 NE 17 @ CAR 27 CAR -3 43 points 250 104 146 3 0 288 39 249 0 1

Carolina Panthers Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/21/25 CAR 30 vs ATL 0 ATL -4.5 44 points 224 110 114 2 0 332 131 201 0 0
9/14/25 CAR 22 @ ARI 27 ARI -7.0 45.5 points 352 49 303 0 3 293 82 211 1 1
9/7/25 CAR 10 @ JAX 26 JAX -4.5 45.5 points 255 113 142 0 1 378 200 178 1 1
1/5/25 CAR 0 @ ATL 0 ATL -7.5 48.5 points 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12/29/24 CAR 0 @ TB 0 TB -10.0 48 points 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

New England Patriots Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/21/25 NE 14 vs PIT 21 PIT -1.0 44.5 points 369 119 250 0 2 203 64 139 1 2
9/14/25 NE 33 @ MIA 27 MIA -2.5 43 points 333 122 211 1 2 358 61 297 0 2
9/7/25 NE 13 vs LV 20 NE -2.5 44 points 336 60 276 0 1 389 56 333 1 1
1/5/25 NE 0 vs BUF 0 BUF -3.0 36.5 points 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12/28/24 NE 7 vs LAC 40 LAC -6.0 41.5 points 181 96 85 0 1 428 147 281 1 3