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Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Matchup 1/4/26

7-10, 10th AFC East
at

MIA 10 @ NE 38

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT

14-3, 2nd AFC East

MIA 10 @ NE 38

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT

Odds Odds Comparison | Splits Bet Splits | Scoring | L5 Meet Last 5 Meetings | NE Dolphins L5 Last 5 | NE Patriots L5 Last 5

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
71
70
73
+10 (-110)
+14 (-108)
46 pts
44.5 pts
+450
+675
line-movement
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
74
75
74
-10 (-110)
-14 (-112)
-135
-1350
46 pts
44.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Moneyline +675 -1350
Spread +14 -14
Totals 15.2 29.2
Win Probability 7% 93%
Over/Under
Over/Under 44.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
9-7-1 4-5-0 5-2-1 5-5-0 4-2-1
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
11-6-0 6-3-0 5-3-0 4-0-0 7-6-0
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 5-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0
43.1 to 46 4-2-1 2-1-0 2-1-1 2-3-0 2-2-0 0-1-0
46.1 and over 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 4-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
8-9-0 5-4-0 3-5-0 4-6-0 4-3-0
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
12-5-0 5-4-0 7-1-0 4-0-0 8-5-0
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 3-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
-3.1 to -6.9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0
-0.1 to -3 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 2-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
+7 to +10 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
10.1 or more 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 2-5 28.6% 42.9 20.3
Underdog 3-7 30% 50 18.8
After Win 3-3 50% 12.5 7.2
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 5-3 62.5% 50 27
Favorite 9-1 90% 70 29.5
After Win 10-2 83.3% 50 21

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
21.7 4.9 7.6 2.2 6.7
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
27 6.9 11 4.8 4.4
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
19.5 4.1 6.1 3.2 6
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
24.3 2.9 8.3 4.9 8.3
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
20.3 5.4 6.1 1 7.7
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
29.5 6.6 10.4 6.5 6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
24 4.7 3.2 9.1 7
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
19.2 5.1 3.5 3.9 6.8

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/14/25 NE 33 @ MIA 27 MIA -2 43 points 358 61 297 0 2 333 122 211 1 2
11/24/24 NE 15 @ MIA 34 MIA -7 45.5 points 373 65 308 0 4 268 86 182 0 1
10/6/24 MIA 15 @ NE 10 MIA -2 37 points 372 193 179 1 0 299 151 148 1 0
10/29/23 NE 17 @ MIA 31 MIA -7 46.5 points 390 78 312 1 3 218 77 141 0 2
9/18/23 MIA 24 @ NE 17 MIA -2 46 points 389 145 244 2 1 288 88 200 1 1

Miami Dolphins Last 5 Matchups

Game
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/28/25 MIA 20 vs TB 17 TB -5.5 44 points 298 145 153 0 2 380 53 327 0 2
12/21/25 MIA 21 vs CIN 45 CIN -3.5 48 points 389 129 260 3 0 407 105 302 2 4
12/16/25 MIA 15 @ PIT 28 PIT -3.5 43 points 285 63 222 0 2 336 135 201 2 2
12/7/25 MIA 34 @ NYJ 10 MIA -2.5 41.5 points 358 239 119 3 1 207 65 142 0 0
11/30/25 MIA 21 vs NO 17 MIA -5.5 41.5 points 298 164 134 1 0 294 81 213 0 2

New England Patriots Last 5 Matchups

Game
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/28/25 NE 42 @ NYJ 10 NE -13.0 42 points 440 155 285 1 5 307 164 143 1 0
12/22/25 NE 28 @ BAL 24 BAL -3.5 48.5 points 453 79 374 1 2 330 171 159 3 0
12/14/25 NE 31 vs BUF 35 BUF -2.5 49.5 points 385 246 139 4 0 349 168 181 2 3
12/2/25 NE 33 vs NYG 15 NE -7.0 46.5 points 395 119 276 0 2 239 111 128 1 1
11/23/25 NE 26 @ CIN 20 NE -7.5 50.5 points 392 107 285 0 1 307 120 187 0 1