Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers Matchup 12/16/25

7-10, 10th AFC East
at

MIA 15 @ PIT 28

Acrisure Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:27 pm GMT

10-7, 4th AFC North

MIA 15 @ PIT 28

Acrisure Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:27 pm GMT
Updated: 11:27 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
71
70
73
+3 (-110)
+3.5 (+100)
44.5 pts
43 pts
+126
+152
line-movement
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers
79
81
77
-3 (-110)
-3.5 (-120)
-162
-185
44.5 pts
43 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +152 -185
Spread +3.5 -3.5
Totals 19.8 23.2
Win Probability 36% 64%
Over/Under
Over/Under 43
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
7-6-1 3-4-0 4-2-1 4-4-0 3-2-1
7-7-0 3-5-0 4-2-0 5-5-0 2-2-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
39.1 to 43 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
43.1 to 46 3-1-1 2-0-0 1-1-1 3-4-0 1-2-0 2-2-0
46.1 and over 1-4-0 0-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
7-7-0 4-3-0 3-4-0 3-5-0 4-2-0
7-7-0 5-3-0 2-4-0 6-4-0 1-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 3-2-0 3-1-0 0-1-0
-0.1 to -3 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0
0 to 3 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-2-0 0-1-0
+3.1 to +6.9 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0
+7 to +10 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 2-4 33.3% 50 21.2
Underdog 2-5 28.6% 57.1 18.9
After Win 3-2 60% 15.4 7.8
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 4-3 57.1% 57.1 22.4
Favorite 4-2 66.7% 50 26.7
After Win 2-4 33.3% 15.4 10.2

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
22 4.3 7.3 2.9 7.1
22.4 3.7 8.7 3.9 6.1
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
26.2 3.5 10 4.5 8.2
23.7 3.3 8.5 3.3 8.5
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
21.2 6.3 6.7 1.2 7
25.2 6.3 7.3 2.8 8.7
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
22 4 2.7 8.3 7
22 4.3 1.3 4.7 11.7

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/24/22 PIT 10 @ MIA 16 MIA -7 44.5 points 372 111 261 0 1 341 95 246 0 1
10/29/19 MIA 14 @ PIT 27 PIT -14 43 points 230 60 170 0 2 394 158 236 1 2
1/8/17 MIA 6 @ PIT 30 PIT -11 47 points 305 52 253 0 1 367 179 188 2 2
12/8/13 MIA 34 @ PIT 28 PIT -3 41 points 367 181 186 1 3 412 84 328 0 3
10/24/10 PIT 23 @ MIA 22 MIA -3 41 points 313 64 249 0 1 348 58 290 0 2

Miami Dolphins Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/7/25 MIA 34 @ NYJ 10 MIA -2.5 41.5 points 358 239 119 3 1 207 65 142 0 0
11/30/25 MIA 21 vs NO 17 MIA -5.5 41.5 points 298 164 134 1 0 294 81 213 0 2
11/16/25 MIA 16 vs WAS 13 MIA -2.5 47 points 311 169 142 1 0 379 172 207 0 1
11/9/25 MIA 30 vs BUF 13 BUF -8.0 50.5 points 370 197 173 2 2 376 87 289 0 2
10/31/25 MIA 6 vs BAL 28 BAL -7.5 51.5 points 332 87 245 0 0 338 150 188 0 4

Pittsburgh Steelers Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/7/25 PIT 27 @ BAL 22 BAL -5.5 43.5 points 318 34 284 2 1 420 217 203 1 1
11/30/25 PIT 7 vs BUF 26 BUF -3.0 44.5 points 166 58 108 1 0 372 249 123 1 1
11/23/25 PIT 28 @ CHI 31 CHI -3.0 46.5 points 345 186 159 2 1 328 99 229 1 3
11/16/25 PIT 34 vs CIN 12 PIT -5.5 48 points 343 111 232 0 2 297 105 192 0 1
11/10/25 PIT 10 @ LAC 25 LAC -3.5 45.5 points 221 73 148 0 1 314 115 199 1 1