Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins Matchup 12/28/25

8-9, 10th NFC South
at

TB 17 @ MIA 20

Hard Rock Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT

7-10, 10th AFC East

TB 17 @ MIA 20

Hard Rock Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT
Updated: 11:28 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers
85
83
88
-1 (-110)
-5.5 (-118)
48.5 pts
44 pts
-125
-265
line-movement
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins Dolphins
71
70
73
+1 (-110)
+5.5 (-102)
+127
+200
48.5 pts
44 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline -265 +200
Spread -5.5 +5.5
Totals 24.8 19.2
Win Probability 67% 33%
Over/Under
Over/Under 44
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
8-8-0 6-1-0 2-7-0 6-2-0 2-6-0
8-7-1 4-5-0 4-2-1 5-5-0 3-2-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0
43.1 to 46 4-4-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-1 2-1-0 1-1-1
46.1 and over 2-3-0 2-0-0 0-3-0 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
5-11-0 1-6-0 4-5-0 1-7-0 4-4-0
8-8-0 5-4-0 3-4-0 4-6-0 4-2-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
-0.1 to -3 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0
0 to 3 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-2-0
+3.1 to +6.9 1-3-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
+7 to +10 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 4-4 50% 50 21.5
Favorite 5-4 55.6% 33.3 24
After Loss 3-4 42.9% 13.3 11.2
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 4-4 50% 50 21.9
Underdog 2-7 22.2% 44.4 18.7
After Loss 3-5 37.5% 33.3 12.9

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
25 4.9 7.9 7.3 5
21.9 4.6 7.2 2.5 7.1
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
24.3 2.9 8.3 4.9 8.3
25.2 6 7.6 5.1 6.5
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
21.5 2.5 8 6.4 4.6
20.3 5.4 6.1 1 7.7
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
25 4.9 7.1 4.9 8.1
24.9 4.4 3.6 9.9 7

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/10/21 MIA 17 @ TB 45 MIA -11 48 points 558 121 437 1 5 301 39 262 0 2
11/19/17 TB 30 @ MIA 20 TB -1 43.5 points 321 53 268 0 2 448 83 365 0 2
11/11/13 MIA 19 @ TB 22 TB -2 39 points 264 140 124 1 1 213 2 211 0 2
11/15/09 TB 23 @ MIA 25 MIA -10 42 points 301 121 180 1 1 374 199 175 1 1
10/16/05 MIA 13 @ TB 27 MIA -4 35 points 342 180 162 1 1 307 64 243 1 0

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/21/25 TB 20 @ CAR 23 TB -3.0 44.5 points 296 169 127 1 1 275 101 174 0 2
12/12/25 TB 28 vs ATL 29 TB -6.0 43.5 points 338 88 250 1 2 476 111 365 1 3
12/7/25 TB 20 vs NO 24 TB -7.5 41.5 points 301 179 122 1 1 260 139 121 3 0
11/30/25 TB 20 vs ARI 17 TB -4.5 44.5 points 279 95 184 1 1 386 95 291 0 2
11/24/25 TB 7 @ LAR 34 LAR -7.0 49.5 points 193 123 70 0 1 333 70 263 0 3

Miami Dolphins Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/21/25 MIA 21 vs CIN 45 CIN -3.5 48 points 389 129 260 3 0 407 105 302 2 4
12/16/25 MIA 15 @ PIT 28 PIT -3.5 43 points 285 63 222 0 2 336 135 201 2 2
12/7/25 MIA 34 @ NYJ 10 MIA -2.5 41.5 points 358 239 119 3 1 207 65 142 0 0
11/30/25 MIA 21 vs NO 17 MIA -5.5 41.5 points 298 164 134 1 0 294 81 213 0 2
11/16/25 MIA 16 vs WAS 13 MIA -2.5 47 points 311 169 142 1 0 379 172 207 0 1