New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints Matchup 10/12/25

14-3, 2nd AFC East
at

NE 25 @ NO 19

Caesars Superdome, Final

Updated: 11:24 pm GMT

6-11, 13th NFC South

NE 25 @ NO 19

Caesars Superdome, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:24 pm GMT
Updated: 11:24 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
74
75
74
-3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-105)
42.5 pts
46 pts
-170
-192
line-movement
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints Saints
74
75
73
+3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
+140
+150
42.5 pts
46 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline -192 +150
Spread -3.5 +3.5
Totals 24.8 21.2
Win Probability 60% 40%
Over/Under
Over/Under 46
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
2-4-0 1-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-4-0
3-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 3-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0
43.1 to 46 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0
46.1 and over 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
4-2-0 1-2-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 3-2-0
2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 2-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-0.1 to -3 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 2-0 100% 100 28
Favorite 1-1 50% 50 27.5
After Win 1-1 50% 20 7.4
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 1-2 33.3% 33.3 20
Underdog 0-4 0% 25 16.5
After Win 0-0 0% 0 0

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
23 4.7 10.3 2.3 5.7
20 1 10 3.3 5.7
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
37.5 17.5 8.5 6.5 5
23.5 0 8.5 6.5 8.5
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
28 7.5 3 7.5 10
16 3.5 4.5 3 5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18 6.7 2.3 3.3 5.7
20 5.3 10.3 2 2.3

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/8/23 NO 34 @ NE 0 NE -2 38.5 points 156 45 111 0 0 304 136 168 1 2
9/26/21 NO 28 @ NE 13 NE -3 43.5 points 300 49 251 0 1 252 142 110 1 2
9/17/17 NE 36 @ NO 20 NE -4 54 points 555 119 436 1 3 429 81 348 0 2
10/13/13 NO 27 @ NE 30 NO -1 50 points 376 141 235 2 1 361 131 230 1 2
11/30/09 NE 17 @ NO 38 NO -2 57 points 366 122 244 2 0 480 113 367 0 5

New England Patriots Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/6/25 NE 23 @ BUF 20 BUF -7.5 49 points 338 71 267 2 0 363 118 245 0 2
9/28/25 NE 42 vs CAR 13 NE -5.5 42.5 points 307 104 203 3 2 326 129 197 0 2
9/21/25 NE 14 vs PIT 21 PIT -1.0 44.5 points 369 119 250 0 2 203 64 139 1 2
9/14/25 NE 33 @ MIA 27 MIA -2.5 43 points 333 122 211 1 2 358 61 297 0 2
9/7/25 NE 13 vs LV 20 NE -2.5 44 points 336 60 276 0 1 389 56 333 1 1

New Orleans Saints Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/5/25 NO 26 vs NYG 14 NO -2.5 42 points 332 88 244 0 1 335 136 199 0 2
9/28/25 NO 19 @ BUF 31 BUF -14.5 48.5 points 298 189 109 1 1 356 165 191 2 2
9/21/25 NO 13 @ SEA 44 SEA -7.0 41.5 points 284 79 205 0 1 320 87 233 2 2
9/14/25 NO 21 vs SF 26 SF -3.0 40.5 points 307 121 186 0 3 344 77 267 0 3
9/7/25 NO 13 vs ARI 20 ARI -6.0 44 points 315 107 208 1 0 276 146 130 0 2