Germany vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Preview, Picks & Odds for Monday, June 29, 2026

By Thom Cunningham | Jun 28, 2026, 7:36pm

Germany looks to bounce back during the 2026 World Cup KO Stage after losing to Ecuador despite leading in the match. Paraguay stands in their way as a heavy underdog, but can they defy the odds? Let’s go through the betting data, insights, trends and odds for this Round of 32 meeting from Gillette Stadium in New England.

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Germany vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Betting Analysis

Germany is a big favorite in this match, understandably so with wins in 11 of 12 matches – as the loss to Ecuador was Germany’s first since facing Slovakia on September 4 last year. For Paraguay, though, the card of disrespect might be played as they are actually winners in five of six matches when coming off a draw. The conviction Paraguay covers +0.5 is low, though, so let’s venture elsewhere.

These two teams go in opposite directions when it comes to the BTS and the goal total. Germany has gone Over the total in eight straight matches while also scoring Over 1.5 goals in eight of nine. Paraguay, however has seen the Under hit in seven straight World Cup matches against UEFA clubs while also hitting the Under in 11 of 12 World Cup matches overall.

The BTS has hit for Germany in six of seven matches along with six straight at the World Cup. For Paraguay, the BTS has failed to hit in four of six matches along with five straight World Cup KO Stage matches. Since we’re split, we’ll take a trend from each club to apply to our score prediction – Germany to net Over 1.5 goals and Paraguay to see the BTS fail and the Under hit as well. Conviction is low, beware.

Germany vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Best Bet, Pick & Prediction

Best Bet: GER/PAR U2.5 (+110)
Score Prediction: Germany 2, Paraguay 0

Germany vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Odds

Germany vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Information

Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Network: FOX
Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
Venue: Gillette Stadium – 2.4 goals per match; 2-3 O/U
Stage: Round of 32

Germany vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Betting Resources

Germany vs. Paraguay World Cup Match Key Players

Germany

Leroy Sane – Last Game: 1 goal
Florian Wirtz – Last Game: 1 assist
Jamal Musiala – Last Game: 57 touches

Paraguay

Orlando Gil – Last Game: 5 saves, 0 goals allowed
Omar Alderete – Last Game: 72 touches
Diego Gomez – Last Game: 64 touches

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Photo Credit: AP/Pamela Smith

Thom Cunningham

Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars.