Paraguay vs. France World Cup Match Preview, Picks & Odds for Saturday, July 4, 2026

By Thom Cunningham | Jul 03, 2026, 8:59pm

The 2026 World Cup favorites take the pitch for Saturday’s second match in the opening day for Round of 16 action, as France battles Paraguay. Let’s get into all the betting data, details, trends and odds for a ‘David vs. Goliath’ meeting from the ‘Linc’ in Philadelphia.

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Paraguay vs. France World Cup Match Betting Analysis

This will be tough for Paraguay, despite reaching the Round of 16 they have failed to win four of six matches but are unbeaten in six of seven matches when coming off a draw. France, however, enters on a five-match winning streak including wins in nine of 10 overall. While France has played the trends and data all tournament long (goals, goals and goals), they now face club that typically keeps matches low scoring with BTS failures.

So, while France has seen the BTS hit in seven of nine matches, Paraguay has seen it fail in four straight Round of 16 World Cup matches. France is on an incredible 13-match Over run, but Paraguay has hit the Under in three straight matches along with eight straight World Cup matches when facing a UEFA club. Looking deeper, France has scored Over 1.5 goals in five straight matches along with Over 2.5 goals in six of seven matches.

We’ll toy with the idea that Paraguay’s defense is able to keep France to just Over 1.5 goals and not 2.5, while the BTS fails. So while the Under has low conviction due to France’s offense, feel free to actually back France’s offense instead. Kylian Mbappe has scored the first goal in five of six World Cup matches, while Michael Olise has scored a goal or an assists in four of five World Cup matches – both providing plus-value.

Paraguay vs. France World Cup Match Best Bet, Pick & Prediction

Best Bet: FRA/PAR U2.5 (+115) at DraftKings
Score Prediction: France 2, Paraguay, 0

Paraguay vs. France World Cup Match Odds

Paraguay vs. France World Cup Match Information

Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
Time: 5:00 p.m. ET
Network: FOX
Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field – 2.4 goals per match; 3-2 O/U
Stage: Round of 16

Paraguay vs. France World Cup Match Betting Resources

Paraguay vs. France World Cup Match Key Players

Paraguay

Julio Enciso – Last Game: 1 goal
Orlando Gill – Last Game: 6 saves, 1 goal allowed
Matias Galarza – Last Game: 1 assist

France

Kylian Mbappe – Last Game: 2 goals
Bradley Barcola – Last Game: 1 goal
Michael Olise – Last Game: 2 assists

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Photo Credit: IMAGN IMAGES

Thom Cunningham

Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars.