Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins Matchup 6/25/23

Braxton Garrett and Andre Jackson will be the starting pitchers when the Miami Marlins (84-76) and Pittsburgh Pirates (75-86) play on Sunday at 3:05 PM ET at PNC Park.

Matchup

Game Spread Team Totals Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Game Hitters Rating Pitchers Rating Open Current Open Current Open Current Open Current Line Moves
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates Pirates Conf Confirmed 0 0 +1.5 (-142) +1.5 (-142) 3.5 2.5 7.5 runs 7 runs +146 +144 line-movement
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins Marlins Conf Confirmed 0 0 -1.5 (+118) -1.5 (+118) 3.5 3.5 -174 -172

Odds Comparison

Vegas vs. Lineups.com Odds
Vegas Difference Vegas Difference
Moneyline +144 144 -172 172
Totals 2.5 2.5 3.5 3.5
Win Probability 40% 40% 63% 63%
Over/Under
Vegas Difference
Over/Under 7 7
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away
35-40 15-22 20-18
37-37 17-23 20-14
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away
36-37-3 18-18-1 18-19-2
35-40-2 16-22-2 19-18-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
7 or less 4-0-0 0-0-0 4-0-0 4-4-1 3-3-1 1-1-0
8 or 8.5 21-25-1 12-10-0 9-15-1 27-27-1 12-18-1 15-9-0
9 or 9.5 9-11-2 6-8-1 3-3-1 2-7-0 1-1-0 1-6-0
10 or 10.5 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
11 and over 2-1-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 1-2-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 17-22 43.6% 51.3 4.4
Underdog 23-33 41.1% 50 4.1
After Losses 11-18 37.9% 41.4 4.4
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 24-16 60% 42.5 4
Favorite 24-12 66.7% 47.2 4.7
After Win 22-18 55% 47.5 4

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
3.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
4.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
5.4 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.1
4.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.3
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
4.0 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
4.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
5.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.3
4.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4

Pittsburgh Pirates Last 6 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Team ML Opp ML Over/Under Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg
6/24/23 PIT 3 @ MIA 4 +144 -172 8 runs 3.1 runs Osvaldo Bido (R) .523 .154 4.8 runs Bryan Hoeing (R) .766 .300
6/23/23 PIT 3 @ MIA 1 +190 -230 7.5 runs 2.5 runs Luis L. Ortiz (R) .461 .219 5.0 runs Jesús Luzardo (L) .505 .219
6/22/23 PIT 4 @ MIA 6 +140 -166 7 runs 2.8 runs Mitch Keller (R) .612 .156 4.2 runs Braxton Garrett (L) .769 .303
6/21/23 PIT 3 vs CHC 8 -102 -116 8.5 runs 4.1 runs Rich Hill (L) .322 .067 4.3 runs Kyle Hendricks (R) .835 .242
6/20/23 PIT 0 vs CHC 4 +114 -134 8 runs 3.5 runs Johan Oviedo (R) .401 .156 4.4 runs Marcus Stroman (R) .878 .226
6/19/23 PIT 0 vs CHC 9 +114 -134 9.5 runs 4.2 runs Osvaldo Bido (R) .491 .161 5.2 runs Drew Smyly (L) .665 .256

Miami Marlins Last 6 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Team ML Opp ML Over/Under Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg
6/24/23 MIA 4 vs PIT 3 -172 +144 8 runs 4.8 runs Bryan Hoeing (R) .766 .300 3.1 runs Osvaldo Bido (R) .523 .154
6/23/23 MIA 1 vs PIT 3 -230 +190 7.5 runs 5.0 runs Jesús Luzardo (L) .505 .219 2.5 runs Luis L. Ortiz (R) .461 .219
6/22/23 MIA 6 vs PIT 4 -166 +140 7 runs 4.2 runs Braxton Garrett (L) .769 .303 2.8 runs Mitch Keller (R) .612 .156
6/21/23 MIA 3 vs TOR 6 +114 -134 6.5 runs 2.9 runs Sandy Alcantara (R) .648 .265 3.6 runs Kevin Gausman (R) .786 .306
6/20/23 MIA 0 vs TOR 2 -118 +100 7.5 runs 3.9 runs Eury Pérez (R) .467 .200 3.6 runs Yusei Kikuchi (L) .538 .212
6/19/23 MIA 11 vs TOR 0 +136 -162 7.5 runs 3.0 runs Bryan Hoeing (R) 1.084 .452 4.4 runs José Berríos (R) .454 .212

Marlins vs. Pirates Odds and Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
  • Time: 3:05 PM ET
  • TV: SNPT
  • Marlins Starter: Braxton Garrett
  • Pirates Starter: Andre Jackson
  • Moneyline Favorite: Marlins -135
  • Moneyline Underdog: Pirates +114
  • Spread Favorite: Pirates -

Marlins vs. Pirates Matchup Statistics

  • The Marlins have the No. 26 offense in MLB play scoring 4.2 runs per game (666 total runs).
  • Miami is 58-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Pirates rank 22nd in the majors with 689 total runs scored this season.
  • In 61 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 48-13.
  • The Marlins' 4.28 team ERA ranks 16th across all league pitching staffs.
  • The 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings put together by Miami's pitching staff ranks fifth in the majors.
  • Pirates pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.66 ERA this year, which ranks 22nd in MLB.
  • Pittsburgh has an 8.6 K/9 rate this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 18th in the majors.

Marlins vs. Pirates Previous Meetings

Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
9/30/2023 Marlins -1.5 9 -135 +114 7-3 MIA
9/29/2023 Marlins -1.5 8.5 -135 +114 4-3 MIA
7/24/2022 Marlins -1.5 7 -175 +150 6-5 MIA
6/25/2023 Marlins -1.5 7 -170 +145 2-0 MIA
6/24/2023 Marlins -1.5 8 -170 +145 4-3 MIA
6/23/2023 Marlins -1.5 7.5 -210 +180 3-1 PIT
6/22/2023 Marlins -1.5 7 -165 +140 6-4 MIA
7/23/2022 Marlins -1.5 7.5 -125 +105 1-0 PIT
7/22/2022 Marlins -1.5 8 -130 +110 8-1 MIA
7/14/2022 Marlins -1.5 7.5 -155 +135 3-2 MIA

Marlins Leaders

  • Luis Arraez has a team-high OBP (.393) and slugging percentage (.469).
  • Among all qualifying hitters in the major leagues, Arraez's batting average ranks him first, his on-base percentage ranks eighth, and he is 43rd in slugging.
  • Arraez has picked up a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .438 with two RBI.
  • Jorge Soler is batting .250 with 24 doubles, 36 home runs and 65 walks.
  • Including qualified batters, Soler is 96th in batting average, 48th in on-base percentage and 14th in slugging percentage.
  • Soler enters this game looking to extend a two-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
  • Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 122 hits.
  • Josh Bell is batting .249 with 28 doubles, 22 home runs and 63 walks.
  • Bell takes a three-game hit streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .368 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBI.

Pirates Leaders

  • Bryan Reynolds has generated a slugging percentage of .460 and has 151 hits, both tops in the lineup for the Pirates.
  • Among qualified batters in baseball this year, Reynolds ranks 61st in batting average (.263), 62nd in on-base percentage (.330), and 52nd in slugging (.460).
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has 31 doubles, seven triples, 15 home runs and 28 walks while batting .273.
  • Hayes currently ranks 38th with a .273 batting average this season, and 112th in on base percentage at .310. His slugging percentage (.455) is the 57th best in baseball.
  • Jack Suwinski a has .340 on-base percentage to pace the Pirates' lineup.
  • Connor Joe is hitting .244 with 30 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 49 walks.

Marlins vs. Pirates Injury Report

  • Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10-Day Injured List (Hamstring), Sandy Alcantara: 15-Day Injured List (Right Forearm), Eury Perez: 15-Day Injured List (Back), Trevor Rogers: 60-Day Injured List (Bicep), Matt Barnes: 60-Day Injured List (Hip), Jonathan Davis: 60-Day Injured List (Knee), Tommy Nance: 60-Day Injured List (Oblique), Anthony Bender: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Max Meyer: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Luis Arraez: Day-to-day (Leg), Josh Bell: Day-to-day (Undisclosed)
  • Pirates: Bailey Falter: 15-Day Injured List (Neck), Colin Holderman: 15-Day Injured List (Thumb), Vince Velásquez: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Angel Perdomo: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Oneil Cruz: 60-Day Injured List (Calf), Tucupita Marcano: 60-Day Injured List (Knee), Andrew McCutchen: 60-Day Injured List (Achilles), Jarlin García: 60-Day Injured List (Bicep), JT Brubaker: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow)