Washington Commanders at Atlanta Falcons Matchup 9/28/25

5-12, 14th NFC East
at

WAS 27 @ ATL 34

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:23 pm GMT

8-9, 11th NFC South

WAS 27 @ ATL 34

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:23 pm GMT
Updated: 11:23 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders Commanders
84
83
85
-3 (-105)
+2.5 (-110)
48.5 pts
43.5 pts
+100
+120
line-movement
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons Falcons
78
78
79
+3 (-115)
-2.5 (-110)
+150
+105
48.5 pts
43.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +120 +105
Spread +2.5 -2.5
Totals 20.5 23
Win Probability 52% 48%
Over/Under
Over/Under 43.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-0-0
1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 1-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
43.1 to 46 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 0-2-0
46.1 and over 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 2-2-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0
-0.1 to -3 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 0-1 0% 0 18
Underdog 0-1 0% 0 18
After Win 0-1 0% 0 6
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 0-1 0% 0 20
Favorite 0-1 0% 0 0
After Loss 1-0 100% 33.3 7.3

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
31 7 10 7 7
20 7 3 3 7
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18 3.5 4.5 5 5
27 7 7 3 10
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18 0 3 0 15
11 3 1.5 1.5 5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
15 1.5 5 1.5 7
23 0 10 7 6

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/30/24 ATL 24 @ WAS 30 WAS -3 46.5 points 0 0 0 0 0 337 126 211 2 1
10/15/23 WAS 24 @ ATL 16 ATL -1 42 points 193 72 121 0 3 402 106 296 0 2
11/27/22 ATL 13 @ WAS 19 WAS -3 40 points 314 176 138 0 2 332 167 165 0 1
10/3/21 WAS 34 @ ATL 30 WAS -1 48 points 412 122 290 1 3 374 99 275 0 4
11/4/18 ATL 38 @ WAS 14 WAS -1 47 points 366 79 287 1 1 491 154 337 1 4

Washington Commanders Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/21/25 WAS 41 vs LV 24 WAS -3.0 44 points 400 201 199 3 1 354 93 261 0 3
9/12/25 WAS 18 @ GB 27 GB -3.0 48 points 230 51 179 0 2 404 135 269 1 2
9/7/25 WAS 21 vs NYG 6 WAS -6.0 45.5 points 432 220 212 2 1 231 74 157 0 0
1/26/25 WAS 23 @ PHI 55 PHI -6.0 47 points 350 99 251 1 1 459 229 230 7 1
1/19/25 WAS 45 @ DET 31 DET -8.0 55 points 481 182 299 3 2 521 201 320 3 1

Atlanta Falcons Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/21/25 ATL 0 @ CAR 30 ATL -4.5 44 points 332 131 201 0 0 224 110 114 2 0
9/15/25 ATL 22 @ MIN 6 MIN -3.0 44.5 points 326 218 108 1 0 198 78 120 0 0
9/7/25 ATL 20 vs TB 23 47.5 points 358 69 289 1 1 260 101 159 0 3
1/5/25 ATL 0 vs CAR 0 ATL -7.5 48.5 points 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12/30/24 ATL 24 @ WAS 30 WAS -3.5 46.5 points 337 126 211 2 1 0 0 0 0 0