San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds 2024: Latest Super Bowl 58 Odds

The current San Francisco 49ers 2024 Super Bowl odds are . It was a tale of two different halves for the San Francisco 49ers, once looking like their Super Bowl hopes were all but over until they turned it on in the second half. The Detroit Lions exposed the 49ers defensive weakness early on by abusing the run yet fell victim to their own hyper aggressiveness on fourth downs. That allowed the 49ers to mount a comeback, dominating the second half through the air and punching their ticket to the Super Bowl.

San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds & Futures 2023-2024

The 49ers entered the year pegged as one of the best teams in the league and have looked every bit of the part. Only the Baltimore Ravens rivaled the Niners for the top spot in overall DVOA, now facing a Chiefs team that dips to fifth best in the league after their upset win. The Chiefs benefited from the Ravens refusing to expose their defensive weakness, playing right into their hands and maintaining a lead until the final whistle. A potential sigh of relief after the Ravens exposed the Niners earlier in the year, now playing a team with far more flaws.

San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds Analysis

After struggling to run against one of the best run stopping units in their battle against the Detroit Lions for a majority of the contest, Christian McCaffrey and company should have far more success against a lackluster Chiefs front seven. Much like their own struggles with stopping the run, the Chiefs front seven have not fared much better as they come into the big game ranked 27th in Def Rush DVOA, 28th in Def Rush EPA, and 16th in Def Rush Success Rate.

It’s inexcusable as to why the Ravens did not abuse their league leading ground game against them, a mistake that head coach Kyle Shanahan will not make. The 49ers have been a dominant ground game as well, ranking second in Rush DVOA, first in Rush EPA, and first in Rush Success Rate. A big reason for their success has been from their o-line’s ability to run block, ranking second in Adjusted Line Yards as well. That is a sharp contrast against the Chiefs front four who ranks 25th in Def Adjusted Line Yards.

Being able to find success on the ground is monumental for the 49ers chances of pulling out the win as their pass attack faces a far tougher test. The Chiefs have excelled in coverage all season, ranking fifth in Def Pass DVOA, third in Def Pass EPA, and second in Def Pass Success Rate. By letting McCaffrey run wild, the Chiefs may have to sell out to stop the run and sacrifice some of their coverage in order to do so. By doing so, that opens up higher quality passing lanes for Brock Purdy to exploit.

Speaking of coverage, the 49ers back end has been just as equally impressive as they rank fourth in Def Pass DVOA, sixth in Def Pass EPA, and seventh in Def Pass Success Rate. They lockdown the middle of the field and force opposing offenses to beat them outside the numbers. With the Chiefs fielding a underwhelming receiving core, the 49ers will be able to throw help side coverage at Rashee Rice while bracketing Travis Kelce with their linebackers.

With the 49ers having a massive advantage with their ground game, as well as fielding a secondary capable of slowing down their pass attack, it’s no surprise that the 49ers are the current favorites per their Super Bowl odds. They opened as high as -3 yet have been bet down to as low as -1.5. This makes the 49ers a buy spot at their current odds, being in a great position to get the job done and win the biggest game of the year at a reduced price.

Reasons Why the 49ers Can and Can’t Win the Super Bowl

Strengths

• Christian McCaffrey leads one of the best rush attacks in the league
• Elite linebacking unit and secondary that thrives in coverage
• Arguably best group of pass catchers that thrive in creating separation

Weaknesses

• By selling out in coverage, they struggle to stop the run in the middle of the field
• Brock Purdy has flirted with an uptick in turnover worthy plays in the playoffs
• Underwhelming special teams that may make or break them in crunch time